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Prediction for CME (2015-12-28T12:39:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2015-12-28T12:39Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/9936/-1
CME Note: CME is associated with a M1.8 class flare from AR 2473.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-12-31T00:02Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 6.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-12-31T03:39Z
Prediction Method: SPM2
Prediction Method Note:

Initial shock speed: 850 km/s
source longitude: 8
source latitude: -6
background solar wind speed: 370 km/s
duration time: 1 hour

The shock will arrive at the Earth at 2015-12-31 03:38:33

The transit time predicted is 62.99 hours!

Lead Time: 12.28 hour(s)
Difference: -3.62 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2015-12-30T11:45Z

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